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Trends and Determinants of Fertility in Pakistan: Multivariate Decomposition Analysis (PDHS 1990-91 to PDHS 2012-13)
Author(s):
1. Asifa Kamal: Lahore College for Women University Lahore, Pakistan
2. Ghazala Noreen: Lahore College for Women University Lahore, Pakistan
3. Muhammad Amin: Nuclear Institute for Food and Agriculture (NIFA), Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
Abstract:
Pakistan is facing problem of rapid population growth. Objective of current study is to identify the demographic, economic and attitudinal factors afecting fertility in Pakistan for the three waves of cross sectional Pakistan Demographic and Health Surveys (PSHS 1990-91, PDHS 2006-07 and PDHS 201213). Multivariate decomposition analysis and pooled cross section techniques are used to analyse the data. It is concluded from multivariate pooled analysis of three surveys that age of women at first birth, region (Balochistan), wealth index (rich), education of both spouses and survey periods (2006-07, 2012-13) has significantly negative efect on the total children ever born to women in Pakistan. Child mortality (yes), husband's desire for children (more than wife), ideal number of children, marital duration and ever use of contraceptives has significant positive contribution towards women fertility in terms of number of children ever born to women. A significant decline in fertility is observed for the two periods (PDHS 2006-07 and PDHS 2012-13) as compared to PDHS (1990-91). There is 10% and 15% decline in fertility in 2006-07 and 2012-13 respectively as compared to 1990-91.
Page(s): 6-17
DOI: DOI not available
Published: Journal: Journal of Innovative Sciences, Volume: 7, Issue: 1, Year: 2021
Keywords:
Behavioural effect , Fertility determinants , Poisson regression model , Multivariate decomposition analysis , Compositional effect , PDHS , Pooled data analysis , Children ever born
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