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A prediction model of risk factors of poor wound healing after craniocerebral surgery
Author(s):
1. Chunlian Zhong: Department of Neurosurgery, The 904th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the PLA,Wuxi 214000, Jiangsu Province,P.R. China
2. Wei Lu: Department of Neurosurgery, The 904th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the PLA,Wuxi 214000, Jiangsu Province,P.R. China
3. Wenzhong Xie: Department of Neurosurgery, The 904th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the PLA,Wuxi 214000, Jiangsu Province,P.R. China
4. Wei Jiao: Department of Neurosurgery, The 904th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the PLA,Wuxi 214000, Jiangsu Province,P.R. China
Abstract:
Objective: To explore the independent risk factors of poor wound healing after craniocerebral surgery, and to generate a risk prediction model. Methods: A single-center retrospective observational analysis of 160 patients who underwent craniocerebral surgery in The 904th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the PLA from February 2018 to February 2021 was carried out. Patients were divided into Group-A (n=70) and Group-B (n=90) according to postoperative wound healing outcome. Logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors, and a nomogram prediction model was constructed using R software. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to test the predictive ability of the model, and the fitting efect was verified by Hosmer Lemeshow . Results: The duration of operation, surgical site infection, diabetes mellitus, and the time of intubation in Group-B were significantly lower than Group-A (P0.05). Conclusions: Long operation duration, surgical site infection, duration of drainage tube, ALB <35g/L, and abnormal HGB were risk factors for poor wound healing. The nomograph model based on these factors showed good discrimination, calibration, and clinical efectiveness in predicting poor wound healing.
Page(s): 1835-1839
Published: Journal: Pakistan Journal of Medical Sciences, Volume: 39, Issue: 6, Year: 2023
Keywords:
Risk factors , Wound healing , Prediction model , Craniocerebral surgery
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