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Performance and Instability of Oilseed Crops in Pakistan
Author(s):
1. Muhammad Nisar Khan: Department of Economics and Agri-Economics, PMAS-Arid Agriculture University, Rawalpindi, Pakistan; PARC-Social Sciences Research Institute, National Agricultural Research Centre, Islamabad, Pakistan
2. Arshad Mahmood Malik: Department of Economics and Agri-Economics, PMAS-Arid Agriculture University, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
3. Faheem Khan: Department of Agricultural Extension, PMAS-Arid Agriculture University,Rawalpindi,Pakistan
Abstract:
This comprehensive study spanning from 1971-72 to 2021-22 consistently discerned distinct patterns of variability and instability within Pakistan's oilseed crops. Analyzing instability in the cultivation area, yield, and production of oilseed crops is crucial for efective planning and strategy formulation. The study encompasses the analysis of nine oilseed crops, namely cotton, rapeseed-mustard (including canola), sesame, groundnut, sunflower, castor seed, linseed, soybean, and saflower. The Coeficient of Variation (CV) and the Cuddy-Della Valle Instability Index (CDVI) were employed to assess fluctuations and instability in the cultivation area, production, and yield of these crops. The ifndings highlighted that cotton exhibited a high degree of instability in production and yield, while rapeseed-mustard (including canola) consistently displayed a high degree of production volatility, underscoring the critical need for a sustainable and steady supply of these commodities. Sesame output revealed frequent instability, demanding prompt and efective mitigation actions. Groundnut production consistently demonstrated mild inconsistency, emphasizing the need for vigilant monitoring to ensure supply stability. Sunflower cultivation faced substantial insecurity, necessitating comprehensive stabilization techniques. Soybean production continually grappled with significant insecurity across all factors, emphasizing the importance of robust risk management. Saflower production consistently posed challenges due to extreme instability, requiring ongoing solutions. Linseed regularly manifested moderate instability, indicating room for improvement with better management. Castor seed production showed considerable volatility in cultivation area and production but low yield instability, underscoring the significance of targeted stability solutions. Addressing insecurity in Pakistan's oilseed crop sectors is crucial for food security, requiring proactive measures like improved forecasting, resource allocation, and informed policy-making for long-term stability.
Page(s): 77-87
Published: Journal: Proceedings of the Pakistan Academy of Sciences: B. Life and Environmental Sciences, Volume: 61, Issue: 1, Year: 2024
Keywords:
Food security , Pakistan , Oilseed crops , CuddyDella Valle Instability Index , Coeficient of Variation
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